Pest Management Science 2005-07-01

Probabilistic model for estimating field mortality of target and non-target bird populations when simultaneously exposed to avicide bait.

John J Johnston, Melvin J Holmes, Andy Hart, Dennis J Kohler, Randal S Stahl

Index: Pest Manag. Sci. 61(7) , 649-59, (2005)

Full Text: HTML

Abstract

A probabilistic model was developed to estimate target and non-target avian mortality associated with the application of the avicide CPTH (3-chloro-p-toluidine hydrochloride) to minimize sprouting rice damage in the southern USA. CPTH exposures for individual birds were predicted by random sampling from species-specific non-parametric distributions of bait seed consumption and CPTH residues detected on individual bait seeds. Mortality was predicted from the species-specific exposure versus mortality relationship. Individual variations in this response were captured in the model by Monte Carlo sampling from species-specific distributions of slopes and median toxicity values (LD50) for each bird. The model was used to simultaneously predict mortality (percentage of exposed population and number of birds killed/weight of consumed bait) for a target (blackbird) and non-target (mourning dove) species feeding on bait sites for up to five consecutive days.Copyright 2005 Society of Chemical Industry

Related Compounds

  • 2-Chloro-4-aminoto...

Related Articles:

[Method of determining p-nitrotoluene, 2-chloro-4-nitrotoluene and 3-chloro-4-methylaniline in the air].

1980-01-01

[Gig. Tr. Prof. Zabol. (1) , 43-4, (1980)]

Pathological features of 3-chloro-4-methyl benzamine HCl toxicity in rooks (Corvus frugilegus L.) and pheasants (Phasianus colchicus L.).

1982-01-01

[Gegenbaurs Morphol. Jahrb. 128(5) , 753-61, (1982)]

Stabilization of the avicide 3-chloro-p-toluidine as the beta-cyclodextrin adduct.

1999-07-01

[J. Agric. Food Chem. 47(7) , 2904-7, (1999)]

Improved method for quantifying the avicide 3-chloro-p-toluidine hydrochloride in bird tissues using a deuterated surrogate/GC/MS method.

2002-02-13

[J. Agric. Food Chem. 50(4) , 732-8, (2002)]

Absorption, distribution, and excretion of [14C]-3-chloro-4-methylaniline hydrochloride in two species of birds following a single oral dose.

2004-12-29

[J. Agric. Food Chem. 52(26) , 8074-80, (2004)]

More Articles...